Validity of predictive score model for microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Abstract

Objective: To validate a risk score model to predict MVI using Total tumor volume (TTV) and AFP. Study Design: Cross-sectional. Setting: Department of Gastroenterology, Liaquat National Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan. Period: June 2022 to December, 2023. Methods: Patients of either gender, older than 18 years and above with confirmed diagnosis of HCC were enrolled. When there were several HCC tumors, the largest tumor's axis was measured and used as the representative HCC diameter. When microscopic tumor invasion was detected in the portal, hepatic vein, or biliary vein of the surrounding liver tissue that was adjacent to the tumor, it was referred to as micro vascular invasion. Results: Total 302 patients were studied with mean age of 62.1 ± 9.2 years. Majority of patients were males (64.2%). Around one-fifth patients had more than one tumor (19.9%). Out of 302 patients, MVI was seen in 30.1% patients. In multivariable analysis number of tumors (aOR=220.65, 95% CI: 128.91-922.67), tumor volume (aOR=1.01, 95% CI: 1.01-1.02), and AFP (aOR=1.01, 95% CI: 1-1.02) were found to be significant predictors of MVI. Conclusion: This study validated a prediction model for forecasting of MVI in HCC patients with highly significant variables including number of tumors, tumor volume and alpha feto protein. Timely decision making could be done using this model.